Improving the Impacts of Anticipatory Action

Building on one of the first impact evaluations on anticipatory cash transfers in a humanitarian setting, the IRC is studying ways to improve the effectiveness of anticipatory cash on smallholder farmers affected by floods. Over the course of the 2024 flood season, we strive to answer to questions:

1. How can machine learning help us understand pre-shock behavior patterns, and how does targeted early warning messages change households’ use of pre-shock actions?
2. How do households from communities who have never received anticipatory action before compare to households who come from communities that have received anticipatory action in previous years?